BIZ-OMICS
AQA A-level Business 7138 · Year 12 · Paper 1

Paper 1
Exam Technique Guide

Everything you need to know about how Paper 1 is marked and how to write answers that reach the top level. Use it alongside the lesson slides, before practice papers, and when you revise.

Name
Class
Teacher
Contents
  1. Paper 1 at a glance
  2. The four skills: knowledge, application, analysis, evaluation
  3. The 6-mark Analyse question
  4. The 9-mark Assess question
  5. Quantitative questions
  6. The 15-mark Evaluate question
  7. Linking topics across Unit 3.1
  8. Exam room toolkit and formulae
1

Paper 1 at a glance

The format

Length2 hours
Marks90 (one third of the A-level)
StructureTwo sections. Each section is a case study followed by five questions worth 45 marks.
Every section6 · 6 · 9 · 9 · 15. These are the only question tariffs on the paper.
CalculationsTwo quantitative questions on the paper, each set as a 9 or a 15-marker. There are no stand-alone calculation questions.
ContentUnit 3.1 only. Paper 1 is standalone.

What Paper 1 covers

3.1.1 Business and objectives

Entrepreneurs · business plans · competitiveness · influences on decisions (risk, reward, resources, market conditions, ethics, opportunity cost) · SMART objectives

3.1.2 Forms of business and stakeholders

Sole traders, Ltd, plc, co-operatives, social enterprises · liability · shares, share price, market capitalisation, dividends · stakeholders

3.1.3 Marketing management

Market research · market data · demand, PED and YED · segmentation and target markets · marketing objectives and budget · the marketing mix · digital marketing

3.1.4 Financial management

Financial objectives · sources of finance · break-even · profit · budgets · cash flow and liquidity · financial reporting and ratios

The ladder

The three question types build on each other. Master the 6-mark chain first, because the 9 and 15 are made of chains.

6
Analyse

One developed chain of reasoning that reaches the end point of the question. No judgement.

9
Assess

A chain for and a chain against one action, then a supported judgement on that action.

15
Evaluate

Two options, each analysed both ways, then a recommendation built on the business's priorities.

Where the marks sit

6-mark Analyse
AO1 · 2AO2 · 2AO3 · 2
9-mark Assess
AO1 · 2AO2 · 2AO3 · 2AO4 · 3
15-mark Evaluate
AO1 · 3AO2 · 3AO3 · 4AO4 · 5

AO1 knowledge and understanding · AO2 application to the case · AO3 analysis (chains of reasoning) · AO4 evaluation (judgement)

Evaluation is the biggest single AO in the 9 and the 15A third of the marks in both questions are for judgement. A brilliant analysis with no judgement cannot reach the top level.

The caps

Answers are marked by levels, read as a whole. The mark scheme also tells examiners the maximum mark when a skill is missing. These caps tell you what you cannot leave out.

If your answer…6915
has no chain of analysis3––
only shows knowledge and understanding223
has knowledge and analysis, but no use of the case (and, for 9 and 15, no judgement)447
has no evaluation–610
Quantitative: only does the calculation, correctly–44
Quantitative: bases the answer on the calculation in isolation–6–
Quantitative: does not use the calculation in the argument––9

Five golden rules

  1. Answer the exact question. Find the end point and make every chain, and every judgement, land on it.
  2. Use the case inside your reasoning, not as decoration. Copying the case out earns nothing.
  3. Explain every step. Connectives such as because, this means that and which leads to are what turn a point into analysis.
  4. Judge in the 9 and the 15. Weigh, decide, and say what your decision depends on.
  5. Use every calculation. A number you do not interpret and use is worth very little.
2

The four skills

Every mark on Paper 1 comes from four skills. The question types in the rest of this guide are just different ways of combining them. Get these right and every question gets easier.

AO1 Knowledge

Use the right business terms, accurately.

AO2 Application

Use evidence from the case to show why it matters for this business.

AO3 Analysis

Develop chains of reasoning, step by step, to the end point.

AO4 Evaluation

Weigh the arguments and reach a supported decision.

Skill 1 · Knowledge: be precise

Knowledge marks come from using business terms accurately, not from writing definitions for their own sake. Use the term, then use it to do something.

Vague
"Becoming a Ltd is safer for the owners."
Safer how? From what?
Precise
"Shareholders in a Ltd have limited liability, so they can lose only the money they invested, not their personal possessions."
The term is used correctly, and it sets up the next step.

Skill 2 · Application: evidence, not storytelling

Application means using the case to show why your point matters for this business. There are three levels, and only the last one really earns AO2:

LevelExampleWhy
Name-drop"Brightwater is a brewery, so…"True of any brewery. Shows nothing.
Quote"The canning line costs £250,000."Copied from the case, but not used. Repeating the case is not creditworthy.
Use"Sam has £40,000 of savings and a £100,000 loan offer, so he is still £110,000 short of the £250,000 he needs, which means…"The evidence does work: it is combined, compared, and pushes the argument forward.

Work with the data, don't just quote it

The strongest answers do something with the numbers in the case. Each of these turns a figure into evidence:

MoveExample
Find a difference£250,000 needed − £140,000 available = a £110,000 gap
Calculate a changeShare price 240p → 180p is a 25% fall
Compare to a benchmarkA 5.0% yield against a 3.5% sector average
Test a forecast£300,000 forecast, but 40% less is typical in year one: about £180,000
Put it in proportion35% of customers means more than a third of current trade already comes from that area
Check it against the objective£640,000 + £300,000 = £940,000: enough to hit the £900,000 target

The storytelling trap

Storytelling is inventing events that are not in the case and building your argument on them. It feels like analysis, but it earns little, because nothing in the case supports it.

Storytelling
"Tomasz might get angry about working at two sites and leave to open his own bakery next door, and then Fieldstone would lose all its customers."
Nothing in the case suggests this. It is a story, not evidence.
Evidence-led
"Tomasz is the only head baker and already works six days a week, so splitting his time between two sites could reduce quality at both, damaging the 4.8-star reputation that drives demand."
Every step is anchored to a fact in the case.
Two tests for every sentence 1. Could this sentence be written about any business? If yes, it isn't application. Add a fact from the case.
2. Does every "might" or "could" have a "because the case shows…"? If not, it's storytelling. Find the evidence or cut it.

"What if" thinking is still allowed, as long as the case gives you a reason: "If Harrogate takes 40% less than forecast, as similar openings in the region have…" is evidence-led, because the case gives you the 40%.

Skill 3 · Analysis: developing a chain

A chain of reasoning is a series of linked steps, each one caused by the step before, ending on the end point in the question. Most students lose analysis marks for two reasons: they jump from the start to the end, or they stop one step too early.

The "so what?" ladder

Start with your point, then keep asking "so what?" until you reach the end point in the question. Every answer to "so what?" is a new link.

PointBecoming a Ltd gives Brightwater's owners limited liability.
So what?Investors can only lose the money they put in.
So what?Buying shares is far less risky, so the two customers who offered to invest are more likely to buy shares.
So what?Brightwater can raise the £110,000 it is short.
End point reached…so it can fund the £250,000 canning line. Stop here.

Spot the missing link

A jump
"Becoming a Ltd means Brightwater can buy the canning line."
How? Every step in between is missing. This is an assertion, not a chain.
A full chain
"Becoming a Ltd means Brightwater can sell shares, and because shareholders have limited liability, the two customers are more willing to invest, which means Sam can close the £110,000 gap and buy the canning line."

Habits that develop chains

Skill 4 · Evaluation: how to weigh

Evaluation is a reasoned decision, not a summary. Repeating your arguments and saying "it depends" earns very little. To evaluate, you need a way of deciding which argument matters more. These are the tools:

ToolAskExample
TimeIs it different in the short term and the long term?"Probably not in the first year, but the 2029 deadline leaves time to grow."
Likelihood and impactHow likely is it? How big would the effect be?"Losing majority control is certain with the share issue, and permanent."
Objectives and prioritiesWhat does this business or owner care about most?"Grace's priority is to stay fully in control, so the angel's 35% matters more than the speed of the money."
Reliability of evidenceWho produced the data? Is it biased, a forecast, a small sample?"The till survey only asked existing customers."
The key conditionWhat would have to be true for this to work?"This would only be true if a second head baker is hired first."
StakeholdersWho gains and who loses? Whose view matters most here?"The family relies on the dividends, so a lower dividend per share hits them directly."

Weigh, don't repeat

The most common evaluation mistake is the recap: the conclusion repeats the arguments already made, then adds "I think" at the end. It earns almost nothing, because nothing new has been said. A weighted judgement does something the analysis did not: it compares the arguments and explains why one matters more for this business.

The same conclusion, two ways Harbour & Hide, 15-mark
Recap
"In conclusion, the business angel would provide £180,000 and expertise, but Grace would lose 35% of the business. Crowdfunding would let her keep control, but it might not raise enough. Both options have advantages and disadvantages, but I think crowdfunding is better."
Every sentence repeats the analysis. Nothing is compared. The final verdict has no reason.
Weighted
"Crowdfunding is the better choice because control is Grace's main priority, and the angel's offer would cost her 35% permanently, whereas the risk with crowdfunding, raising too little, is temporary and could be covered by the bank loan and retained profit. The angel's expertise is valuable, but it does not outweigh a permanent loss of control for an owner who has said she wants to stay fully in charge."
Uses a criterion (Grace's priority), compares the two risks (permanent vs temporary), and says why the other side loses.

What makes a judgement weighted

A weighted judgement compares arguments using a criterion: a reason why one matters more than another. Ask these questions about your two strongest arguments:

Compare by…Ask
SizeWhich would have the bigger effect on the end point?
LikelihoodWhich is more likely to happen, given the evidence in the case?
PermanenceWhich can be undone, and which can't? A temporary problem usually matters less than a permanent one.
TimingWhich matters in the short term, and which in the long term? Which does the question ask about?
PriorityWhich links to what this owner or business says it cares about most?
EvidenceWhich argument rests on firmer evidence: a fact, or an untested forecast?

Weighing language

These phrases force a comparison. A conclusion with none of them is almost certainly a recap.

…outweighs… because……matters more than… because…Although…, … is more important because…The bigger risk is…, since……is more likely than…, because the case shows……is permanent, whereas…is temporaryIn the long run, …matters more because…The deciding factor is…
The recap test: check every sentence of your conclusion 1. Have I already written this? If yes, cut it or turn it into a comparison.
2. Does it compare? Each sentence should set one argument against another, or explain why one matters more.
3. Does it use a criterion? Size, likelihood, permanence, timing, priority or evidence.
4. Does it say why the other side loses? A verdict with no "even though" is only half a judgement.

Evaluate as you go, then decide

Good answers do not save all the evaluation for the last paragraph. After each chain, add a short mini-judgement on how strong it is: "This is a strong argument because the case shows…" or "This is less convincing because the forecast is untested." Then the conclusion only has to compare them.

The conclusion formula: V · B · E · U

VVerdictAnswer the exact question. One clear decision.
BBecauseThe single most important reason, using the case.
EEven thoughWhy the strongest argument on the other side is weaker.
UUnlessThe condition that would change your decision.
V · B · E · U in actionFieldstone, 9-mark

[V] Overall, the second shop is likely to help Fieldstone reach £900,000 by 2029, [B] because demand already exceeds what Otley can supply and a third of current customers already travel from the Harrogate area. [E] Even though first-year sales may fall well short of the £300,000 forecast, the 2029 deadline leaves time to grow beyond a weak start. [U] Unless Priya hires a second head baker first, though, the expansion could hit the revenue objective at the expense of quality.

Evaluation traps

TrapFix
Recapping: repeating both sides againCompare them using a criterion. Say which wins and why the other loses. Use the recap test.
Sitting on the fenceMake a decision. A qualified decision ("yes, if…") is fine; no decision is not.
"It depends on many factors"Name the one factor that decides it, and say which way the case points.
A new argument in the conclusionThe conclusion weighs what you have already analysed. New points belong earlier.
A verdict on a different questionCheck the end point: "should it open?" is not "will it help achieve its objectives?"
3

The 6-mark Analyse question

The 6-marker asks for one developed line of reasoning. It rewards depth, not breadth.

The two levels

Level 2 · 4–6 marks

Knowledge of the factor, effective application to the case throughout, and an accurate chain of reasoning that links the two key elements of the question.

Level 1 · 1–3 marks

Knowledge of the factor and an attempt to apply it, but a lack of relevant analysis. Steps are missing, or the chain never reaches the end point.

Step 1 · Decode the stem

Analyse one way in which becoming a private limited company could affect Brightwater's ability to fund the new canning line.
Factor where your chain startsEnd point where your chain must finishone means one developed chain, not a list
The two key elementsThese are the factor and the end point. Level 2 needs a chain that connects them, with every step in between explained. If you jump from start to finish, or stop before the end point, you stay in Level 1.

Step 2 · Build the chain

1 · Know it AO1
What is the factor, and why does it matter to a business?
2 · Place it AO2
Which facts or figures in the case show it? Use them as evidence.
3 · Push it AO3
This means that… which leads to… Explain every step. Don't jump.
4 · Land it AO3
As a result… Finish exactly on the end point the question names.

Connectives that build a chain

becausethis means thatwhich leads toas a resultthereforethis would meansoconsequently
No judgement neededThere are no AO4 marks in a 6-marker. A conclusion that weighs both sides earns nothing, and costs time you need for the 9 and 15-markers.

Two answers to the same question

Case · Brightwater Brewing Fictional

Brightwater Brewing is a craft brewery in Leeds run by Sam Okoye as a sole trader. It has nine employees and sells kegs to around 60 independent pubs. Demand has grown every year since 2021.

Sam wants to buy a £250,000 canning line so he can sell cans online and to bottle shops. He has £40,000 of savings to invest. His bank has offered a loan of £100,000 but will not lend more without security against his house. Two regular customers, a pub owner and a former brewery manager, have said they would invest if they could own part of the business. Sam's accountant has suggested converting Brightwater into a private limited company.

Analyse one way in which becoming a private limited company could affect Brightwater's ability to fund the new canning line. [6 marks]
AO1 knowledgeAO2 applicationAO3 analysisunderlined connective
Answer 1Level 1 · 3 marks

A private limited company has limited liability, which means the owners can only lose the money they have invested.AO1 This is good for Sam because if Brightwater fails he will not lose his house. Being a Ltd company also looks more professional, so Brightwater could get more customers. The canning line costs £250,000.AO2

Why Level 1. The knowledge is accurate, but the chain drifts to Sam's house and then to customers. It never links becoming a Ltd to funding the canning line, and the £250,000 is dropped in at the end rather than used.
Answer 2Level 2 · 6 marks

Becoming a private limited company would allow Brightwater to raise share capital, because it could sell shares to new investors who would then own part of the business.AO1 As a sole trader, Sam can only use his own £40,000 and the bank's £100,000, which leaves him £110,000 short of the £250,000 he needs.AO2 This means the two customers who have offered to invest could buy shares, and because shareholders in a Ltd have limited liability, they can only lose what they put in, which makes investing far less risky for them.AO3 As a result, Brightwater is much more likely to close the £110,000 gap and buy the canning line, without Sam having to put his house up as security for a bigger loan.AO3

Why Level 2. One chain, linked from the factor (becoming a Ltd) to the end point (funding the canning line). Every step is explained, and the case figures sit inside the chain as evidence. Depth beats breadth.

The 6-mark traps

TrapWhy it costs marks
Analysing two or three different waysEach shallow chain misses steps, so none reaches Level 2, and the time is lost from the 9 and 15-markers.
Copying sentences from the caseRepeating the case is not creditworthy. Use the evidence to support a step: "because he is £110,000 short…"
Stopping one step short"Brightwater can sell shares" is not "Brightwater can fund the canning line". The chain must land on the end point.
Adding a conclusionNo AO4 marks are available. It earns nothing.
4

The 9-mark Assess question

A 9-marker is a judgement on one action or issue. Build a chain for, a chain against, then weigh them and decide.

The three levels

LevelWhat it looks like
3 · 7–9Good application to the case and logical chains of reasoning. Evaluation that weighs up the arguments and reaches a convincing judgement that fully addresses the question.
2 · 4–6Good application, but basic chains of reasoning. Evaluation has some support but may not weigh up the arguments.
1 · 1–3Some attempt at application, a lack of relevant analysis, and a judgement that is assertion without support.

Step 1 · Decode the stem

Assess whether accepting a large investment from a business angel would help Velo Kit Ltd achieve its objectives.
Action what is being judgedEnd point where every chain and the judgement must finishQualifier a word that changes the question
The end point is markedIf the question says objectives, find them in the case. A chain ending "so Velo Kit gets £200,000" is incomplete: what does the money do for its objectives? A judgement about whether the business will "do well" is not a judgement about its objectives.
So is the qualifier"A large investment" is not the same as "an investment". A large stake means giving up more shares and more control. Watch for increasing, significant, large, likely, in the long term, only.

Step 2 · Two chains, then weigh

Chain for
Action → case evidence → because → therefore → end point
Chain against
Action → case evidence → because → therefore → end point
Weigh it up
Which chain is stronger for this business, and why? What does the outcome depend on? Give a clear verdict on the exact question.
Don't suggest alternativesAssess questions are about one given action. Writing "the business should do X instead" does not answer the question and earns no evaluation marks.

Step 3 · Write a judgement that scores

A Level 3 judgement passes three tests.

1 · Exact question

It answers the question asked and lands on the end point.

2 · Weighed

It explains why one side outweighs the other for this business.

3 · "It depends" done well

It names the deciding factor and explains why that factor decides it.

Judgement sentence frames

On balance, … because…The stronger argument is… because…The deciding factor is…, since…This would only be true if…In the short term… whereas in the long term…This matters more for X because…

"It depends": weak and strong

Weak
"There are advantages and disadvantages, so it depends on many factors such as competition, costs and demand."
A list, not a judgement. Nothing is weighed.
Strong
"The deciding factor is whether Harrogate demand is as strong as the survey suggests. Since a third of customers already travel from that area, it probably is."
One factor, why it decides it, and which way the evidence points.

Two answers to the same question

Case · Fieldstone Bakery Ltd Fictional

An artisan bakery in Otley owned by Priya Mann. Revenue last year was £640,000. Priya's objectives are to increase revenue to £900,000 a year by the end of 2029 while protecting Fieldstone's reputation for quality. The shop sells out by 1pm most Saturdays, reviews average 4.8 stars, and a till survey of 200 customers found that 35% live outside Otley, mostly in Harrogate and Ilkley.

Priya plans a second shop in Harrogate. She forecasts it will take £300,000 a year once established, but similar openings in the region have typically taken around 40% less than planned in their first year. The £120,000 fit-out would be funded by a bank loan. Harrogate has three established bakeries, including a branch of a national chain. All recipes come from head baker Tomasz, who works six days a week in Otley.

Assess whether opening a second shop in Harrogate is likely to help Fieldstone achieve its objectives. [9 marks]
Answer 1Level 2 · 5 marks

Opening a second shop in Harrogate could help Fieldstone achieve its objectives because it would be able to sell to more customers. Fieldstone already sells out by 1pm on Saturdays, which shows there is more demand than it can supply in Otley.AO2 A second shop would mean it can sell more bread and pastries, so it would make more money.AO3

However, opening the second shop would be risky. The fit-out costs £120,000 and will be paid for with a bank loan.AO2 Also there are three established bakeries in Harrogate, so Fieldstone may struggle to attract customers. This would mean sales could be lower than expected.AO3

Overall, I think Fieldstone should open the second shop because the demand is there and it has 4.8-star reviews, so it will probably be successful.AO4

Why Level 2. Good application and both sides considered, but the chains stop at "make more money" and "lower sales". Neither reaches the objectives in the case: £900,000 by 2029, and quality. The judgement answers a different question ("should it open") and asserts rather than weighs.
Answer 2Level 3 · 9 marks

The second shop is likely to help Fieldstone reach its revenue objective because demand clearly exceeds what one shop can supply: it sells out by 1pm on Saturdays and has weekday queues.AO2 The till survey also found that 35% of customers already travel from outside Otley, mostly from Harrogate and Ilkley, so a Harrogate shop would capture sales Fieldstone is currently losing.AO3 If the shop takes Priya's forecast £300,000, revenue would rise from £640,000 to £940,000, which means the £900,000 target would be met.AO3

However, the forecast may be optimistic. Similar openings in the region took around 40% less than planned in their first year. On that basis Harrogate would take about £180,000, giving total revenue of £820,000, which leads to an £80,000 shortfall unless the Otley shop grows too.AO2 The till survey only asked existing customers, so it shows where they live, not how many Harrogate shoppers would switch from the three established bakeries they already use.AO3 The second objective is also at risk. Tomasz is the only head baker; if he is split between two sites, quality could slip at both, damaging the 4.8-star reputation that drives demand, so the expansion could undermine the very objective it is meant to achieve.AO3

Overall, the second shop is likely to help Fieldstone reach its revenue objective, but over time rather than in its first year. The deciding factor is whether demand in Harrogate is as strong as the survey suggests: since a third of current customers already travel from that area, Fieldstone is not starting from zero, and the 2029 deadline leaves time to grow beyond a weak first year.AO4 However, this would only be true if Priya hires a second head baker before opening; without one, Fieldstone could achieve its revenue objective at the expense of its reputation for quality.AO4

Why Level 3. Every chain lands on the objectives, using both parts of them. The forecast is tested against the regional evidence, and the survey's limits are challenged using market research knowledge. The judgement names the deciding factor, explains which way the evidence points, and sets a condition drawn from its own analysis.

The 9-mark traps

TrapWhy it costs marks
Arguing only one sideThere is nothing to weigh, so the judgement can only have "some support". Likely Level 2, maximum 6.
Proposing an alternative actionThe question is about one given action. Alternatives are not evaluation of it.
"It depends" plus a listA list is not a judgement. Pick the deciding factor and explain it.
A judgement on a different end pointIf the question asks about profit, a verdict on whether the business "should do it" or "will be successful" misses the question.
Ignoring the qualifier"Significant", "in the long term" or "increasing" change what you must judge.
5

Quantitative questions

Paper 1 has two quantitative questions, each set as a 9 or a 15-marker. The calculation is a tool for your argument, not the answer.

Where the marks go

In a quantitative question, 6 marks are for quantitative skills, awarded in this order:

SkillAOMarks
Know the formula and select the right numbersAO12
Do the calculation correctlyAO22
Interpret the result in a chain of reasoningAO31
Use the result to support the judgementAO41

The rest of the marks (3 in a 9-marker, 9 in a 15-marker) are for analysis and evaluation of the other information in the case.

Three rules from the mark scheme 1. A correct calculation with nothing else sits at the bottom of Level 2 (4 marks).
2. In a 9-marker, an answer based on the calculation in isolation cannot score above 6.
3. In a 15-marker, an answer that does not use the calculation cannot score above 9.

The calculation checklist

The own figure ruleIf you make an arithmetic slip, you still earn the analysis and evaluation marks for correctly interpreting your own wrong number. Never leave a calculation out because you are unsure. Write it, then use it.

Interpret, benchmark, challenge, judge

Calculateformula, working, answer
Interpret"This means…"
Benchmark"Compared with…"
Challenge"However, this figure…"
Judge"Overall… because…"

A Level 3 quantitative 9-marker

Case · Haldane Homeware plc Fictional

Haldane sells kitchenware through 85 stores and online. Over the past year its share price has fallen from 240p to 180p after two poor trading updates, while share prices across the stock market fell as interest rates rose. Haldane kept its total dividend the same as last year, but the directors said it was "paid partly from retained profits". Its customer satisfaction scores are the highest in its sector.

Haldane Homeware plc
Shares in issue50 million
Share price a year ago240p
Share price today180p
Total dividend paid£4.5 million
Average dividend yield in its sector3.5%
Assess whether the fall in Haldane Homeware plc's share price means it is now an unattractive investment. Calculate the dividend yield to support your answer. Give your answer to one decimal place. [9 marks]
CALC calculationCHALLENGE challenges the data
Model answerLevel 3 · 9 marks

Dividend per share = total dividend ÷ number of shares = £4,500,000 ÷ 50,000,000 = £0.09 = 9p. Dividend yield = dividend per share ÷ share price × 100 = 9p ÷ 180p × 100 = 5.0%.CALC This means an investor buying shares today receives 5p a year in dividends for every £1 invested, well above the 3.5% sector average.AO3 Because the share price has fallen by 25% while the dividend has stayed the same, new investors get more income for their money, so for an investor who buys shares for income, Haldane may be more attractive now than a year ago.AO3

However, the high yield may be a warning rather than an opportunity. The dividend was paid partly from retained profits, which suggests current profits are not covering it.AO2 If poor trading continues, the directors may have to cut the dividend, which leads to a lower yield and possibly a further fall in the share price.AO3 Paying dividends out of retained profit also leaves less internal finance to invest in the stores, which could weaken Haldane's competitiveness.AO3 The 5.0% is also based on last year's dividend: an investor buying now will receive next year's, which may be lower.CHALLENGE

Overall, the fall in share price does not on its own make Haldane an unattractive investment, because a 5.0% yield is well above the sector average and its customer satisfaction scores suggest the business itself is still strong.AO4 Part of the fall also reflects rising interest rates across the whole stock market, not just problems at Haldane. The deciding factor is whether the dividend can be kept: it would only remain attractive if trading improves enough for profits to cover the dividend again. I would want to see the next trading update before investing.AO4

Why Level 3. A correct, fully shown calculation, interpreted against the benchmark, then challenged: why is the yield high, and will it last? The judgement uses the number and the challenge, separates market-wide from business-specific causes of the fall, and sets a condition. Compare: "5.0% is above 3.5%, so it is a good investment" uses the calculation in isolation and cannot score above 6.

Common calculation errors

ErrorFix
Mixing pence and poundsConvert first: 9p ÷ 180p, or £0.09 ÷ £1.80. Never 0.09 ÷ 180.
Using the wrong share price for dividend yieldUse the current share price unless the question says otherwise.
Percentage change from the wrong baseChange ÷ original value × 100. From 240p to 180p is a 25% fall, not 33%.
Shareholding after new shares are issuedDivide by the new total number of shares, including the new ones.
Market capitalisation in the wrong unitsShares × share price: 50 million × £1.80 = £90 million.
Rounding too earlyKeep full figures until the final answer.
6

The 15-mark Evaluate question

The 15-marker is the biggest question in each section: a third of the section's marks. Analyse two options, both ways, then make a recommendation that a director could act on.

The five levels

LevelWhat it looks like
5 · 13–15Application throughout. Well-developed chains of reasoning on both options, using sophisticated concepts where appropriate. Well-supported evaluation that weighs both options and reaches a coherent overarching judgement.
4 · 10–12Application throughout and developed chains for both options. Evaluation that is supported, has some balance, and focuses on the question.
3 · 7–9Some developed chains of reasoning. Evaluation with some support, but it may lack balance or not be fully focused on the question.
2 · 4–6Some basic chains of reasoning. Evaluation with limited support.
1 · 1–3Basic application, a lack of relevant analysis, and evaluation that is assertion without support.

Two types of 15-marker

Type A · You choose

"Evaluate two ways / sources / methods… and recommend which one…"
Your choice of options is part of the answer.

Type B · They choose

"Evaluate whether X should choose Option 1 or Option 2."
Often has data and a calculation. The data usually pulls in both directions.

Type A: choosing your options

Options must be appropriate. Check every option against four tests before you write:

Find the hinge

Every 15-mark case contains one or two facts that the recommendation should turn on. Examiners plant them. Find them before you plan. They usually hide in:

the owner's values or objectiveswho controls the businessthe size of the problem vs the size of the fixshort term vs long termhow reliable the data isthe business's attitude to risk

Plan before you write

Spend 2–3 minutes planning. A plan like this keeps the answer balanced and stops you running out of time before the recommendation.

Option 1 · for / against
Chains to the end point, using the case
Option 2 · for / against
Chains to the end point, using the case
Sophisticated concept
A concept or calculation applied, not just named
Hinge / priority
What this business cares about most
Recommendation
Which option, why it beats the other for this business, and what would change your mind

The recommendation

A Level 5 recommendation must… • choose one option
• explain why it beats the other, not just why it is good
• link to the business's priority or the hinge in the case
• say what it depends on, or what would change your decision

There is no "right" option. Examiners reward the quality of the reasoning, so either choice can reach full marks.

Case · Harbour & Hide Ltd Fictional

Harbour & Hide Ltd makes handmade leather bags in Whitby and employs 22 people. Grace Okafor founded it in 2018 and owns all of its shares. She wants to open a second workshop and showroom in York costing £180,000.

The business has £60,000 of retained profit, but Grace wants to keep £30,000 as a cash reserve. It already has a bank loan, and the bank has offered a further £150,000 over seven years at 8.5% interest. The brand has 60,000 Instagram followers and a loyal online customer base. Grace is proud that every bag is made in Yorkshire and wants to stay fully in control. A business angel has offered £180,000 in exchange for 35% of the shares and a seat on the board.

Evaluate two sources of finance Harbour & Hide Ltd could use to fund the new workshop and recommend which one it should choose. [15 marks]

Choosing the options. The business angel, a bank loan and crowdfunding all fit. Retained profit alone does not: only £30,000 is usable after the reserve. An overdraft is short-term and unsuitable for a building, trade credit is for supplies, and as a Ltd, Harbour & Hide cannot sell shares to the public.

The hinges. Grace owns 100% and wants to stay fully in control, so the angel's 35% and board seat cut across her main priority. The 60,000 followers make crowdfunding realistic. The size of the need (£180,000) also matters: the bank loan only covers it with £30,000 of retained profit added.

The recommendation paragraphLevel 5 judgement

On balance, Harbour & Hide should fund the workshop with crowdfunding rather than the business angel. Grace's priority is to stay fully in control, and the angel's offer would cost her 35% of the shares and a seat on the board, permanently.AO4 Crowdfunding lets her keep 100% ownership, and with 60,000 followers and a loyal online customer base, the business is well placed to raise the money; a successful campaign would also promote the York showroom before it opens.AO4 This would change if the campaign failed to reach its target: then the bank loan plus £30,000 of retained profit would be the better fallback, because it still keeps Grace in control, though at the cost of interest on top of the existing loan.AO4

Why it works. One option, why it beats the other, the hinges used (Grace's control, the loyal following), and a condition that would change the decision. A recommendation for the business angel, built on its expertise and the full £180,000 and argued equally well, would score the same.

Sophisticated concepts

Every 15-mark question rewards the accurate use of a relevant concept or calculation that is not the direct focus of the question. It is a typical feature of a Level 5 answer. These are the sophisticated concepts from the specification (Annex 8) that are Unit 3.1 content:

Opportunity costRisk vs uncertaintyMarket mappingDividends and dividend yieldMarket sharePrice elasticity of demandIncome elasticity of demandCorrelationProduct life cycleBoston MatrixReturn on marketing spendContributionBreak-even outputMargin of safetyGross and operating profit marginsProfit for the year marginBudget varianceCash flow forecastingCurrent ratioAcid test ratioPayables daysReceivables daysROCEReturn on investmentGearing
Name-dropping (no credit)
"Using retained profit has an opportunity cost."
Applied (credited)
"Using £30,000 of retained profit means Grace gives up the cash reserve she wanted, so the business would have nothing to fall back on if York sales start slowly."

Challenge the data

Challenging the reliability of data or assumptions is formally creditable evaluation, and most students never do it. Ask:

Who produced it? Could it be biased?When was it taken? Is that typical?Is the benchmark comparable?How big was the sample, and who was asked?Is it a forecast or an actual figure?What's missing: trends, competitors, last year?What could change in the market?
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A quantitative 15-marker, start to finish

Case · Kestrel Foods plc Fictional

Kestrel makes chilled ready meals in Yorkshire. The Kestrel family, who founded the business, own 21 million of its 40 million shares and rely on the dividends for income. The directors want to raise £20 million to build a new factory that will double capacity. They have two options.

Option 1, a share issue: issue 10 million new shares at 200p each. Kestrel's broker, who would be paid a fee for arranging the issue, says demand from investors would be strong. The family would not buy any of the new shares.

Option 2, a bank loan: borrow £20 million over ten years at a fixed interest rate of 7% a year. Interest rates in the economy are expected to rise over the next two years.

Kestrel Foods plc
Shares in issue40 million
Shares owned by the Kestrel family21 million
Current share price250p
Profit last year£6 million
Total dividend paid last year£4 million
Evaluate whether Kestrel Foods plc should fund the new factory with a share issue or a bank loan. Calculate the Kestrel family's percentage shareholding after the share issue to support your answer. [15 marks]

How a strong student approaches it

1 · Calculate

Now: 21m ÷ 40m × 100 = 52.5%
After the issue: 21m ÷ 50m × 100 = 42.0%
The family loses majority control.

2 · Spot the conflict

The family's control and income point to the loan. The risk of fixed repayments points to the share issue. The recommendation must decide which matters more.

3 · Challenge

The broker is paid a fee for the share issue, so its view may be biased. Doubling capacity assumes the demand is there: has Kestrel done the market research? One year's profit is not a trend.

4 · Apply a concept

Dividends: if the total stays at £4 million, dividend per share falls from 10p (£4m ÷ 40m) to 8p (£4m ÷ 50m). The family's income falls from £2.1 million to £1.68 million.
CALC calculationSC sophisticated conceptCHALLENGE challenges the data
Model answerLevel 5 · 15 marks

The family currently owns 21 million ÷ 40 million × 100 = 52.5% of Kestrel. After the share issue there would be 50 million shares, so their stake would fall to 21 million ÷ 50 million × 100 = 42.0%.CALC This means the family would lose majority control of the business it founded: other shareholders could together outvote them on decisions such as who runs the company and how much dividend is paid.AO3

The strongest argument for the share issue is that it brings no repayments. Share capital is permanent finance and dividends do not have to be paid in a bad year, so if the new factory takes time to fill, Kestrel is not forced to find money it does not have.AO3 The broker also expects strong demand, which suggests the full £20 million would be raised.AO2 However, the broker is paid a fee for arranging the issue, so its view may be biased.CHALLENGE There is also a cost to the family's income: if the total dividend stays at £4 million, dividend per share falls from 10p to 8p, and the family's dividends fall from £2.1 million to £1.68 million a year.SC

The bank loan avoids both problems. The family keeps 52.5% and full control, and no new shares are created to share the dividend between.AO3 Interest at 7% on £20 million is £1.4 million a year, which last year's £6 million profit would cover, and because the rate is fixed before interest rates are expected to rise, Kestrel locks in a known cost.AO2 But the loan must be repaid whatever happens. Doubling capacity assumes the extra meals will sell, and nothing in the case shows Kestrel has done market research to test this.CHALLENGE If demand is weaker than hoped, repayments would come out of a smaller profit, which leads to lower dividends anyway and more risk to the business.AO3

On balance, Kestrel should use the bank loan. The share issue would cost the family majority control and 20% of their dividend income permanently, while the loan's cost is fixed and covered by current profit.AO4 For a family-founded business that relies on its dividends, keeping control and income matters more than avoiding repayments, because control, once given up, cannot be won back.AO4 This would change if market research showed demand for the extra capacity was uncertain: then fixed repayments would be a serious risk, and a share issue with no repayments would be the safer choice, even at the cost of control.AO4

Why Level 5. The calculation is correct, interpreted (loss of majority control) and used in the final judgement. Both options are analysed both ways with the case data. A second calculation, dividend per share, is applied as a sophisticated concept. The broker's view and the untested demand are challenged. The recommendation is driven by the family's priorities and says what would reverse it. A recommendation for the share issue, argued equally well, would score the same.

The 15-mark traps

TrapWhy it costs marks
Analysing one option well and the other brieflyThe recommendation needs both sides of both options to weigh.
Recommending without comparing"Option 1 is good because…" is not enough. Say why it beats Option 2 for this business.
Type A: choosing options that don't fitInappropriate options are not credited, however well they are analysed.
Calculating, then never mentioning the number againThe calculation must be used in the argument, or the answer cannot score above 9.
Running out of timeThe recommendation carries the most marks. Plan, and leave time to write it.
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Linking topics across Unit 3.1

The specification asks about the links between different parts of Unit 3.1. Many of the best Paper 1 answers start in one topic and finish in another.

The trapStopping before the end point. "The business gets the money" is not the same as "the business achieves its objectives". Follow the chain all the way: decision → what changes → the end point in the question.

Chains that cross topics

Becoming a private limited company → limited liability → investors take less risk → easier to raise share capital
Market research before a launch → better information about demand → lower risk → a stronger business plan → lenders and investors more willing to provide finance
Selling shares to a business angel → the owner's percentage falls → less control → the business's objectives may change
A fall in share price → each new share raises less → more shares needed for the same amount → harder and more costly to raise share capital
Paying out retained profit as dividends → shareholders rewarded now → less internal finance for investment → the business may need to borrow later (an opportunity cost)

A worked example: finance into control

Velo Kit Ltd's founder owns 800 of its 1,000 shares. To fund expansion she sells 700 new shares to a business angel.

Before: 800 ÷ 1,000 × 100 = 80%. After: 800 ÷ (1,000 + 700) × 100 = 800 ÷ 1,700 × 100 = 47.1%. She no longer holds a majority, so the angel and other shareholders together can outvote her, and she may have to change decisions or objectives she disagrees with.

The chain starts in sources of finance, runs through ownership, and lands on control and objectives.

Choosing a source of finance

Many Paper 1 questions turn on which source of finance suits a business. Work through these factors, and use the case to decide which one matters most:

FactorQuestions to ask
AmountHow much is needed, and can this source provide all of it?
Purpose and timeIs it for a long-term asset or a short-term need?
CostInterest, dividends, or a share of future profits?
ControlDoes the owner have to give up shares or a say in decisions?
RiskMust it be repaid whatever happens? What if sales are weaker than planned?
Legal formCan this business use it? A sole trader cannot sell shares; a Ltd cannot sell them to the public.
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Exam room toolkit

Timing

Paper 1 is 2 hours for 90 marks: about 1 hour per section.

Read
5
6-mark
7
6-mark
7
9-mark
10
9-mark
10
15-mark
17
Check
4

Minutes per section. Spend 2–3 of the 17 minutes planning the 15-marker.

Reading the case study

  1. Read the five questions first, so you know what you are looking for.
  2. Read the case once, underlining figures, the owner's aims, and anything about power, timing or risk.
  3. For each question, mark the end point and any qualifier before you start writing.
  4. Look for the hinge for the 15-marker while you read.

Self-check before you move on

6-mark

  • Factor and end point found
  • One chain, not a list
  • Case evidence inside the chain
  • Every step joined by a connective
  • Chain ends on the end point
  • No judgement added

9-mark

  • Action, end point and qualifier found
  • A chain for and a chain against
  • Both chains reach the end point
  • Judgement answers the exact question
  • "It depends" names one factor
  • Quant: formula, working, units, used

15-mark

  • Type A or Type B identified
  • Type A: options fit the case
  • Both options, both ways
  • Hinge used
  • Sophisticated concept applied
  • Data challenged
  • One option recommended, and why it beats the other

Unit 3.1 formulae

These are the Unit 3.1 formulae from the specification (Annex 7). You must know them; they are not given in the exam.

Forms of business and shares
Market capitalisationNumber of issued shares × current share price
Dividend per shareTotal dividend paid ÷ number of ordinary shares in issue
Dividend yield (%)Dividend per share (pence) ÷ share price (pence) × 100
Marketing
Market share (%)Sales of one product, brand or business ÷ total sales in the market × 100
Market growth (%)Change in the size of the market over a period ÷ original size of the market × 100
Price elasticity of demand% change in quantity demanded ÷ % change in price
Income elasticity of demand% change in quantity demanded ÷ % change in income
Return on marketing spend (%)Profit from marketing activities ÷ amount of marketing spend × 100
Costs, revenue and break-even
Variable costsVariable cost per unit × number of units sold
Total costsFixed costs + variable costs
RevenueSelling price per unit × number of units sold
Contribution per unitSelling price − variable cost per unit
Total contributionContribution per unit × units sold, or total revenue − total variable costs
Break-even outputFixed costs ÷ contribution per unit
Margin of safetyActual level of output − break-even level of output
ProfitTotal revenue − total costs, or total contribution − fixed costs
Budget varianceBudgeted figure − actual figure (then state favourable or adverse)
Cash flow and liquidity
Payables daysPayables ÷ cost of sales × 365
Receivables daysReceivables ÷ revenue × 365
Current ratioCurrent assets ÷ current liabilities
Acid test ratio(Current assets − inventory) ÷ current liabilities
Profit and performance
Gross profitRevenue − cost of sales
Gross profit margin (%)Gross profit ÷ revenue × 100
Operating profitGross profit − operating expenses
Operating profit margin (%)Operating profit ÷ revenue × 100
Profit for the yearOperating profit + profit from other activities − net finance costs − tax
Profit for the year margin (%)Profit for the year ÷ revenue × 100
ROCE (%)Operating profit ÷ (total equity + non-current liabilities) × 100
Return on investment (%)Profit from the investment (£) ÷ cost of the investment (£) × 100
Gearing (%)Non-current liabilities ÷ (total equity + non-current liabilities) × 100
Percentages you will use
Percentage shareholdingShares owned ÷ total shares in issue × 100
Percentage change(New value − original value) ÷ original value × 100

Total equity + non-current liabilities = capital employed.