BIZ-OMICS
Budget special · 28 October 2026

Budget 2026 Decoded

John Healey’s first Budget as Chancellor, explained for A-Level Economics. Watch the five-minute video, then open the interactive resource to analyse every decision, sort the winners and losers, and try to do the Chancellor’s job yourself.

FISCAL POLICYSUPPLY-SIDETHE OBRAQA · EDEXCEL · OCR
5 minutes Captions on screen — narrate it yourself or let it run Original background music — mute any time

Go deeper with the interactive resource

Decision-by-decision analysis and evaluation, a winners-and-losers sort, a “Be the Chancellor” simulator calibrated to the OBR’s costings, and the OBR’s verdict with five charts. Every section has a Present button for the board, and it prints with or without answers.

The Budget in four numbers

From the OBR’s October 2026 forecast

£14.5bn
Headroom against the fiscal rules in 2029–30, down from £23.6bn in March
56%
The OBR’s chance that the main fiscal rule is actually met
3.4%
CPI inflation forecast for 2027, after the energy shock
37.9%
Tax as a share of GDP in 2027–28 — a new record

Source: Office for Budget Responsibility, Economic and fiscal outlook, October 2026.

Inside the interactive resource

Jump straight to a section

Section 1
What does the Chancellor do?

The role, Budget Day in six steps, and how the Treasury, Bank of England and OBR fit together.

Open →
Section 2
The Chancellor’s problem

An energy shock, rising gilt yields and a shrinking safety buffer — with the key fiscal terms explained.

Open →
Section 3
Decision-by-decision analysis

Fourteen measures, each with an analysis chain, evaluation points, a theory link and a “tell me why” question.

Open →
Section 4
Winners and losers

Students sort fifteen groups, then reveal the suggested verdicts and argue with them.

Open →
Section 5
Be the Chancellor

Start from the OBR’s £12.5bn and build your own Budget. Healey’s real choices land on £14.5bn — can you do better?

Open →
Section 6
The OBR verdict

Five charts from the OBR’s forecast, the fiscal rules, the fuel duty catch, and KPMG’s analysis.

Open →

Using it in a lesson

One way to run it in about 50 minutes

5–10 minutes

Watch and pause

Play the video, pausing on each decision for a quick “tell me why” before the evaluation appears.

20 minutes

Be the Chancellor

Pairs build a Budget in the simulator, then compare their trade-offs with Healey’s real choices.

15 minutes

Judge it

Use the OBR charts and the winners-and-losers sort to answer: was Healey right to keep headroom thin?